Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde547067eafb3e447afaf8a0b7886dcb9cbddb0802bb9bec0a32a1d7c9c4fa7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 66c | 18,430$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,180.7 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 7,482$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.71 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,981$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.59 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 3,195$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,859$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.41 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,608$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 48c | 1,166$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.49 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked Yes | 69c | 1,109$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.66 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.27 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96bd…ff97backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 870.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 71c | 845.96$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 75c | 649.35$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.01 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 13c | 629.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Yes | 55c | 624.4$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 10c | 599.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 39c | 575$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 551.53$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 23c | 540.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 11c | 490.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 56c | 418.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.95 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 76c | 395.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 13c | 343.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 34c | 267.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 59c | 255.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 28c | 251.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 13c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 190.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 47c | 163$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…1870backed Yes | 19c | 157.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 48c | 149.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 10c | 138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 36c | 131.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 56c | 129.02$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 45c | 127$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 21c | 126.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 56c | 124.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 48c | 124.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…1b3dbacked No | 58c | 110$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 36c | 94.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 52c | 90.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 62c | 89.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 33c | 80.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 67.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Yes | 17c | 63.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 68c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 65c | 53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 61c | 50.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f6…f092backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 69c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 28c | 48.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 53c | 47.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 42.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 52c | 41.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed No | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed No | 49c | 24.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 58c | 23.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked Yes | 61c | 22.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 80c | 18.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 79c | 17.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-28?this page
- Will FC Drita vs. Floriana FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.