Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2182d7874d51bd0fd6c4c335aee2d8fb03c50fb27b34428d670d519167a81d16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 67c | 7,463$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.94 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 12c | 3,500$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 2,699$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 50c | 2,649$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.68 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 2,444$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.05 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 35c | 2,224$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.51 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 1,990$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.87 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 40c | 1,666$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.6 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 8c | 955.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 15c | 862.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Yes | 67c | 745.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 65c | 727$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.55 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 37c | 718.92$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 61c | 505.56$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 42c | 499.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.49 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 68c | 449.12$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.31 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…984dbacked Yes | 67c | 360.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 66c | 336.36$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 324.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.12 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 34c | 301.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 75c | 297.57$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 35c | 250$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.22 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 68c | 234$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 64c | 227$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 18c | 154.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked No | 31c | 154.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 54c | 151.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe399…6bd7backed Yes | 18c | 145.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 65c | 144$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 30c | 140$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 26c | 134.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 26c | 125.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 59c | 113.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 16c | 113$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 40c | 109.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Yes | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 67c | 100.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 61c | 95.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 59c | 90.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 60c | 84.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 82.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yes | 59c | 81.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked No | 76c | 69.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 60c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…bfd1backed Yes | 64c | 67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed No | 30c | 65.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 64c | 62.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Yes | 60c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 39c | 41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 37.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 36c | 33.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed No | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 59c | 19.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked Yes | 62c | 18.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…88eabacked Yes | 64c | 16.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-28?this page
- Will FC Drita vs. Floriana FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.