Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Drita vs. Floriana FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2536e0e82d385b0dbdbeb6dcb78336c3d5a3cb655310ac1e418fd5cda8db811e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,027$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.33 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 1,074$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.33 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 48c | 840.06$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.38 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 750$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 632$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.28 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 579.3$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.06 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 431$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.87 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 21c | 392.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 78c | 377.81$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 313.61$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.48 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 79c | 296.42$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.17 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 28c | 267.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.87 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…984dbacked Yes | 33c | 252.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 221.36$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.83 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 163.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 25c | 105.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…f3d0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 13c | 99.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 91.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 72c | 85.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked Yes | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 23c | 70.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +88%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 50c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 63.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 72c | 58.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 49c | 44.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 79c | 42.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed No | 76c | 39.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 35.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 78c | 35.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 77c | 20.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 78c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 67c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Drita vs. Floriana FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-28?No won
- Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.