TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Michelsenof Alex Michelsen, Jacob Fearnley
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa0f2…1848backed Alex Michelsen58c6,210$3,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.661,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Jacob Fearnley15c4,681$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.5446030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Jacob Fearnley51c4,040$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,078.624,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alex Michelsen80c3,617$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.9611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7b…1659backed Jacob Fearnley64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9203452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef53…4591backed Jacob Fearnley7c2,758$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9317543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Jacob Fearnley4c2,632$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Jacob Fearnley36c2,254$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.4339243.4%170 W · 222 L+21.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Alex Michelsen60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6765652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Jacob Fearnley40c1,440$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.443,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Alex Michelsen64c1,419$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.956651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jacob Fearnley57c1,408$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.584,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alex Michelsen73c1,111$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.753,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Jacob Fearnley4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Jacob Fearnley34c957.03$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.391,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3556…af4fbacked Jacob Fearnley15c826.6$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9927724.9%69 W · 208 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Alex Michelsen63c801.61$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.2812467.7%84 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Jacob Fearnley56c774.02$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4528147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Jacob Fearnley4c715.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3968430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa192…8876backed Alex Michelsen76c547.3$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2918543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Jacob Fearnley15c501.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2240144.4%178 W · 223 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Jacob Fearnley36c491.06$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7835450.8%180 W · 174 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Alex Michelsen49c434.62$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.662,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jacob Fearnley26c429.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.498,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Jacob Fearnley61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Michelsen65c399.27$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.563,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a51…1e9fbacked Alex Michelsen51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1621842.2%92 W · 126 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Jacob Fearnley15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Jacob Fearnley35c332.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.557829.5%23 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Jacob Fearnley37c305.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6837738.2%144 W · 233 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Alex Michelsen64c292.41$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.581,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x360c…bf96backed Alex Michelsen65c288.35$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.926738.8%26 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Jacob Fearnley33c280$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.414637.7%55 W · 91 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Jacob Fearnley57c277.79$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.811,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Alex Michelsen69c274.96$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2423670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf051…acd4backed Jacob Fearnley55c274.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507851.3%40 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Alex Michelsen75c270.48$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5330645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Alex Michelsen49c252.94$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.213,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Alex Michelsen79c251.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5810437.5%39 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d7…3e75backed Jacob Fearnley7c228.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jacob Fearnley44c224.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.772,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Jacob Fearnley5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104027.5%11 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Alex Michelsen51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0842042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jacob Fearnley26c169.44$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.692,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3b…86bdbacked Jacob Fearnley35c148.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522055%11 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+95.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Alex Michelsen73c131.88$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.971,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Jacob Fearnley37c128.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8714848.6%72 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Alex Michelsen64c118.55$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.681,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Alex Michelsen44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.641,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Alex Michelsen78c108.42$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7470537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Michelsen64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Alex Michelsen60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4039844.2%176 W · 222 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Alex Michelsen65c90.77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.7714536.6%53 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Jacob Fearnley43c88.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5423530.2%71 W · 164 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Jacob Fearnley55c87.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1217748%85 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d9…b1b1backed Jacob Fearnley36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050736.1%183 W · 324 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Alex Michelsen64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1320565.4%134 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Jacob Fearnley64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5096049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7769backed Alex Michelsen66c72.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…4b02backed Jacob Fearnley28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Jacob Fearnley32c70.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jacob Fearnley34c70.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.831,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Jacob Fearnley40c67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.81,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Alex Michelsen39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.18246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa5…7059backed Jacob Fearnley37c62.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0717646%81 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Alex Michelsen64c60.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.761,02149.8%508 W · 513 L+42.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Jacob Fearnley50c59.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0939035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Jacob Fearnley34c58.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Jacob Fearnley34c57.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7160341.1%248 W · 355 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Jacob Fearnley35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017140.9%70 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Jacob Fearnley50c55.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5639648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Jacob Fearnley27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Jacob Fearnley36c55.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9921536.7%79 W · 136 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Jacob Fearnley56c54.14$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5517147.4%81 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Alex Michelsen69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.589134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Jacob Fearnley34c49.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.991,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Alex Michelsen62c48.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6860452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Jacob Fearnley35c48.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715552.3%81 W · 74 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Jacob Fearnley36c45.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2393557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Jacob Fearnley27c44.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.161,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Jacob Fearnley40c44.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.531,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e32…1ca3backed Jacob Fearnley46c43.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Michelsen65c42.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.916,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bec…37d3backed Alex Michelsen48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.814272.5%103 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78fe…df2fbacked Alex Michelsen45c39.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6510056%56 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef9…aa36backed Alex Michelsen66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.887951.9%41 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Jacob Fearnley57c36.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.871,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Alex Michelsen74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.781,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Jacob Fearnley65c32.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1230746.3%142 W · 165 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Alex Michelsen55c31.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2931856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x341b…e5c5backed Alex Michelsen66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34065%26 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b16…358abacked Jacob Fearnley63c30.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-54.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Jacob Fearnley41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4194447.7%450 W · 494 L+34.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Alex Michelsen61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.661,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Alex Michelsen65c28.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9767848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x546a…1988backed Jacob Fearnley56c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.529439.4%37 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Jacob Fearnley59c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1642350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d6…5892backed Alex Michelsen66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.732544%11 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3515…dc2dbacked Alex Michelsen52c21.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.224864.6%31 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff7b…b79fbacked Alex Michelsen66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.89867.3%66 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.