Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bolzano: Manuel Plunger vs Filip Jeff Planinsek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4021024a325730de57131990148e6bcca07f785295bd31ad12bd5479e578ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manuel Plungerof Manuel Plunger, Filip Jeff Planinsek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Manuel Plunger | 66c | 4,254$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.83 | 241 | 62.7%151 W · 90 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 43c | 3,344$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.12 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Manuel Plunger | 33c | 1,777$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Manuel Plunger | 67c | 1,494$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.87 | 2,101 | 54.2%1,139 W · 962 L | +65.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 47c | 974.24$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Manuel Plunger | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Manuel Plunger | 73c | 506.84$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.85 | 196 | 60.2%118 W · 78 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manuel Plunger | 33c | 456.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.18 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 47c | 349.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 58c | 334.44$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Manuel Plunger | 34c | 282$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.25 | 2,781 | 53.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L | +71.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Manuel Plunger | 71c | 274.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Manuel Plunger | 33c | 238.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Manuel Plunger | 67c | 223.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 179 | 23.5%42 W · 137 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 80c | 213.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Manuel Plunger | 46c | 181.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Manuel Plunger | 49c | 167.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Manuel Plunger | 67c | 163.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Manuel Plunger | 58c | 157.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.88 | 1,991 | 52.9%1,053 W · 938 L | +31.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Manuel Plunger | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 50c | 128.51$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,023 | 50%511 W · 512 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Manuel Plunger | 69c | 120.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 33c | 105.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,085 | 49.9%541 W · 544 L | +47.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Manuel Plunger | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,789 | 46.3%828 W · 961 L | -6.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Manuel Plunger | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Manuel Plunger | 63c | 97.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Manuel Plunger | 66c | 97.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Manuel Plunger | 14c | 93.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Manuel Plunger | 33c | 93.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 43c | 90.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Manuel Plunger | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 988 | 55.5%548 W · 440 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Manuel Plunger | 67c | 74.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,472 | 45%662 W · 810 L | +42.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Manuel Plunger | 32c | 65.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Manuel Plunger | 33c | 60.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 52c | 53.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Manuel Plunger | 59c | 51.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Manuel Plunger | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed Manuel Plunger | 66c | 47.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Manuel Plunger | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Manuel Plunger | 66c | 41.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…a766backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 35c | 40.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Manuel Plunger | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 32c | 32.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Filip Jeff Planinsek | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Manuel Plunger | 33c | 31.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Manuel Plunger | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Manuel Plunger | 58c | 29.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 968 | 58.3%564 W · 404 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filip Jeff Planinsek | 50c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Manuel Plunger | 59c | 29.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Manuel Plunger | 67c | 29.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Manuel Plunger | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf4…c2eabacked Manuel Plunger | 54c | 18.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.