Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Gloucestershire vs Surrey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1525eb2048d4a30cc918d4d40f40a68b85a685ce7e4477995b7c3a5570d6d5ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Gloucestershire, Surrey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Gloucestershire | 12c | 13,540$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.04 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gloucestershire | 19c | 12,823$2,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.64 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Gloucestershire | 15c | 8,037$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.53 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gloucestershire | 15c | 4,274$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.93 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Gloucestershire | 54c | 2,710$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.67 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Gloucestershire | 19c | 2,540$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Surrey | 46c | 2,212$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.34 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Gloucestershire | 1c | 1,703$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 323 | 15.8%51 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Gloucestershire | 16c | 1,672$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.59 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Gloucestershire | 9c | 1,416$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Gloucestershire | 19c | 1,281$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Gloucestershire | 12c | 1,006$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 129 | 16.3%21 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Gloucestershire | 15c | 544$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Gloucestershire | 38c | 469.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Gloucestershire | 19c | 436.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Gloucestershire | 19c | 400.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Gloucestershire | 19c | 381$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gloucestershire | 22c | 369.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 568 | 37%210 W · 358 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Surrey | 71c | 348.29$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Gloucestershire | 19c | 331.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Gloucestershire | 22c | 296.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Gloucestershire | 14c | 278.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Surrey | 68c | 239.24$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Gloucestershire | 17c | 218.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Surrey | 41c | 201.95$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Gloucestershire | 26c | 181.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Gloucestershire | 67c | 149.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Gloucestershire | 50c | 145.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Gloucestershire | 47c | 138.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Surrey | 46c | 90.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Gloucestershire | 20c | 90.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Gloucestershire | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Gloucestershire | 20c | 89.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gloucestershire | 21c | 88.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Gloucestershire | 21c | 70.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Gloucestershire | 32c | 64.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +17.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Surrey | 47c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Gloucestershire | 25c | 57.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Gloucestershire | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Surrey | 49c | 48.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Surrey | 54c | 42.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gloucestershire | 44c | 32.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Surrey | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.