Tennis · resolved market
ITF Edwardsville: Oliver Bonding vs Ozan Baris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4769722c36ec30341cb55e20136aca54730beeaffa5510eda5c2baec60225f47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ozan Barisof Oliver Bonding, Ozan Baris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oliver Bonding | 73c | 5,618$4,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,127.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Ozan Baris | 6c | 2,034$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.59 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Ozan Baris | 67c | 1,720$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.22 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Ozan Baris | 5c | 1,217$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.7 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Oliver Bonding | 50c | 1,082$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Ozan Baris | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ozan Baris | 38c | 891.04$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.18 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Ozan Baris | 25c | 833.17$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.98 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Oliver Bonding | 80c | 771.15$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Oliver Bonding | 55c | 668.44$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.28 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Ozan Baris | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.3 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ozan Baris | 46c | 646.91$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.22 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ozan Baris | 78c | 600.67$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.76 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Ozan Baris | 14c | 414$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.18 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Oliver Bonding | 44c | 376$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Ozan Baris | 7c | 282.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.57 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Ozan Baris | 28c | 221.63$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Ozan Baris | 27c | 200.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.46 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Oliver Bonding | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Ozan Baris | 66c | 121.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Ozan Baris | 20c | 106.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.44 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ozan Baris | 44c | 93.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Ozan Baris | 16c | 87.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Ozan Baris | 15c | 84.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Oliver Bonding | 76c | 77.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.06 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ozan Baris | 63c | 75.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Ozan Baris | 47c | 68.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Oliver Bonding | 79c | 55.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Oliver Bonding | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Ozan Baris | 39c | 52.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ozan Baris | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ozan Baris | 32c | 48.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Oliver Bonding | 68c | 44.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Ozan Baris | 37c | 37.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Oliver Bonding | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…131cbacked Ozan Baris | 38c | 34.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Ozan Baris | 53c | 31.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 397 | 59.4%236 W · 161 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Ozan Baris | 47c | 31.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Oliver Bonding | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Oliver Bonding | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Ozan Baris | 70c | 16.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Oliver Bonding | 62c | 16.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.