Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb71223203419c37345c3f268747908c09c879f121c59f753bdb51c8a89b6faf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Gozenof G2 Gozen, Karmine Corp GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 13,037$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.42 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 6,204$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.81 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Gozen | 79c | 5,000$3,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.3 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 3,890$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.24 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed G2 Gozen | 77c | 3,690$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.62 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 1,535$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.97 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 1,300$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 1,058$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.06 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 988.61$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.38 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 668.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Karmine Corp GC | 18c | 631.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp GC | 7c | 618.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 600$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Karmine Corp GC | 21c | 510$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6668…9b4dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked G2 Gozen | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed G2 Gozen | 77c | 499.97$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 436.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed G2 Gozen | 77c | 435$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 400.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Karmine Corp GC | 17c | 392$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 314.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked G2 Gozen | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Karmine Corp GC | 10c | 287.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 267.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Karmine Corp GC | 9c | 212.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 206.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked G2 Gozen | 78c | 201.36$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked G2 Gozen | 78c | 200.63$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 200.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 197.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 197.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 197.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 19c | 194.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 179.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 179.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Karmine Corp GC | 21c | 168.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…07dabacked Karmine Corp GC | 12c | 160.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Karmine Corp GC | 17c | 153.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 149.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 123.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 122$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Karmine Corp GC | 14c | 118.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 114.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked G2 Gozen | 78c | 113.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked G2 Gozen | 79c | 111$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Karmine Corp GC | 21c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 105.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Karmine Corp GC | 19c | 100.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed G2 Gozen | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Karmine Corp GC | 21c | 99.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…8892backed Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 91.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…9edfbacked Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked G2 Gozen | 77c | 89.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 88.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…581bbacked G2 Gozen | 79c | 86.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Karmine Corp GC | 15c | 85.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed G2 Gozen | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 57.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 117 | 47%55 W · 62 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked G2 Gozen | 79c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 20c | 50.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…4278backed G2 Gozen | 79c | 46.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…b015backed G2 Gozen | 79c | 45.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed G2 Gozen | 78c | 37.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked G2 Gozen | 80c | 36.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…52febacked G2 Gozen | 79c | 34.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed G2 Gozen | 79c | 33.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked G2 Gozen | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed G2 Gozen | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked G2 Gozen | 80c | 18.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp GC (+1.5)G2 Gozen won
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 1 WinnerG2 Gozen won
- Valorant: G2 Gozen vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 WinnerG2 Gozen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.