Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gentofte: Aristotelis Thanos vs Nikola Slavic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b7b8e29c9d96dd06956c1af01a2bd379c0326d9aa65a41ca35e18ea27173cf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aristotelis Thanosof Aristotelis Thanos, Nikola Slavic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nikola Slavic | 34c | 3,780$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Aristotelis Thanos | 63c | 3,340$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.43 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Aristotelis Thanos | 72c | 1,051$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Aristotelis Thanos | 72c | 867.38$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.86 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Aristotelis Thanos | 41c | 809.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.89 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Nikola Slavic | 42c | 697$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Nikola Slavic | 33c | 199.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Nikola Slavic | 37c | 196.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Nikola Slavic | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Nikola Slavic | 42c | 141.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Nikola Slavic | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aristotelis Thanos | 69c | 111.26$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Nikola Slavic | 38c | 104.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nikola Slavic | 42c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Nikola Slavic | 55c | 78.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aristotelis Thanos | 61c | 66.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aristotelis Thanos | 60c | 63.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aristotelis Thanos | 58c | 45.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Aristotelis Thanos | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Nikola Slavic | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Nikola Slavic | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Aristotelis Thanos | 32c | 36.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Aristotelis Thanos | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aristotelis Thanos | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Nikola Slavic | 45c | 26.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Aristotelis Thanos | 39c | 26.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Aristotelis Thanos | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Aristotelis Thanos | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Aristotelis Thanos | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Aristotelis Thanos | 80c | 18.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Aristotelis Thanos | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.