Tennis · resolved market
ITF Pitesti: Matei Varbanciu vs Maximilian Borisov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c58ff3814723259500643ed6606c8448d2cb431a982c631c8544af3d1f09bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maximilian Borisovof Matei Varbanciu, Maximilian Borisov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maximilian Borisov | 69c | 8,952$6,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.72 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Matei Varbanciu | 30c | 2,824$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.57 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Matei Varbanciu | 30c | 1,028$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.81 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Matei Varbanciu | 2c | 1,018$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Matei Varbanciu | 8c | 712$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Matei Varbanciu | 27c | 629.63$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Matei Varbanciu | 35c | 570.2$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.1 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Matei Varbanciu | 31c | 477.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.35 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…849cbacked Maximilian Borisov | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Matei Varbanciu | 46c | 339.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Matei Varbanciu | 31c | 291$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Matei Varbanciu | 31c | 245.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Matei Varbanciu | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Matei Varbanciu | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Matei Varbanciu | 30c | 186.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Matei Varbanciu | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matei Varbanciu | 19c | 179.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Matei Varbanciu | 31c | 170.97$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Maximilian Borisov | 69c | 166.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Matei Varbanciu | 31c | 164.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Matei Varbanciu | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Matei Varbanciu | 31c | 110.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Matei Varbanciu | 33c | 99.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Matei Varbanciu | 32c | 96.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Matei Varbanciu | 30c | 93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Matei Varbanciu | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Matei Varbanciu | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Matei Varbanciu | 36c | 80.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maximilian Borisov | 75c | 79.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Maximilian Borisov | 67c | 77.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Matei Varbanciu | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Maximilian Borisov | 69c | 75.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Matei Varbanciu | 37c | 71.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Maximilian Borisov | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Matei Varbanciu | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Maximilian Borisov | 78c | 52.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Matei Varbanciu | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Matei Varbanciu | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Matei Varbanciu | 30c | 41.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matei Varbanciu | 45c | 36.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…9223backed Maximilian Borisov | 70c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Maximilian Borisov | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Maximilian Borisov | 67c | 30.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Matei Varbanciu | 48c | 27.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Maximilian Borisov | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…d365backed Maximilian Borisov | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 62 | 98.4%61 W · 1 L | +13.4wins | +0.22per pick | 77cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…1196backed Maximilian Borisov | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4f…5ec9backed Maximilian Borisov | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.