Dota2 · resolved market
Team Falcons to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0ad4691d2f383f8b22a9205afe10abad63230c58dcfc90c4cc9ff6709a3577c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 50c | 11,084$5,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,557.65 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…4f8abacked Yes | 51c | 4,422$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…a72fbacked Yes | 52c | 3,216$1,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked No | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f1…5ecfbacked No | 48c | 1,577$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.96 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked No | 45c | 1,431$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yes | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed No | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 50c | 1,198$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.75 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 47c | 1,151$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 55c | 1,064$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.96 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Yes | 49c | 690.3$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.05 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Yes | 50c | 672$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes | 55c | 656.84$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.49 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Yes | 49c | 616.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.5 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 51c | 600$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes | 50c | 526$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 505.1$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed No | 50c | 503$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Yes | 49c | 499.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.99 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked No | 46c | 481.19$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.35 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 54c | 450.33$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.41 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 39c | 424.85$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yes | 48c | 416.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes | 57c | 405.33$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 53c | 385.16$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed No | 45c | 338.71$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Yes | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked No | 48c | 266.27$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.53 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Yes | 50c | 244$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…91febacked Yes | 49c | 241.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 227.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Yes | 50c | 214.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…15aebacked Yes | 76c | 208.17$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yes | 61c | 204.17$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…662fbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…f78ebacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed No | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed No | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Yes | 62c | 127.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yes | 74c | 110.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…9d50backed Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 107.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 50c | 107.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Yes | 55c | 106$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…3d4cbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked Yes | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yes | 79c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Yes | 56c | 71.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed No | 42c | 70.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…706fbacked Yes | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…1abdbacked No | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked No | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Yes | 56c | 58.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 42c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Yes | 76c | 52.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 51.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…f7e6backed Yes | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 58c | 44.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed No | 50c | 41.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Yes | 51c | 38.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…3f0abacked Yes | 74c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…dddabacked Yes | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 113 | 63.7%72 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yes | 50c | 32.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 48c | 30.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…8a46backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 65c | 25.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed No | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 48c | 21.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yes | 52c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Falcons to win 2-0?this page
- Nigma Galaxy to win 2-0?No won
- Team Falcons vs Nigma Galaxy: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.