Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wetzlar: Alen Mujakic vs Vincent Marysko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfe2afdd830223a64614c09fdaababff15b78eebe19978c45bca509939d0693b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vincent Maryskoof Alen Mujakic, Vincent Marysko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Alen Mujakic | 0c | 40,154$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vincent Marysko | 70c | 3,657$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Alen Mujakic | 46c | 1,563$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.26 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Alen Mujakic | 32c | 1,114$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.96 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Alen Mujakic | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alen Mujakic | 7c | 506.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Vincent Marysko | 74c | 392.63$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Alen Mujakic | 26c | 384.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Alen Mujakic | 20c | 295$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Alen Mujakic | 21c | 212.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Vincent Marysko | 79c | 167.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Alen Mujakic | 23c | 150.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Alen Mujakic | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Alen Mujakic | 23c | 135$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 430 | 54.9%236 W · 194 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alen Mujakic | 28c | 113.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alen Mujakic | 21c | 108.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Vincent Marysko | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Alen Mujakic | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Vincent Marysko | 72c | 72.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Vincent Marysko | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Alen Mujakic | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Vincent Marysko | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Alen Mujakic | 21c | 51.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Vincent Marysko | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Vincent Marysko | 59c | 47.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Vincent Marysko | 72c | 38.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Vincent Marysko | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Vincent Marysko | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Alen Mujakic | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alen Mujakic | 33c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vincent Marysko | 72c | 32.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Vincent Marysko | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Vincent Marysko | 80c | 26.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…1196backed Vincent Marysko | 75c | 21.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.