Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4abf6bbef17aac4e0104492512b1a21284577f2f91e5b7706b48dead505575b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- No Hoodwinkof No Hoodwink, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed No Hoodwink | 54c | 21,000$11,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,659.95 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked No Hoodwink | 46c | 20,138$9,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,795.1 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PuckChamp | 54c | 10,476$5,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,622.47 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed PuckChamp | 47c | 7,104$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PuckChamp | 61c | 3,775$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.16 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked No Hoodwink | 47c | 3,637$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945.61 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked PuckChamp | 47c | 3,052$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.85 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed No Hoodwink | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed PuckChamp | 53c | 2,553$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.9 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PuckChamp | 52c | 2,197$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.17 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed No Hoodwink | 48c | 2,193$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.38 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp | 61c | 2,066$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.52 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 2,010$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.29 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 2,000$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.95 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PuckChamp | 54c | 1,880$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.7 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed No Hoodwink | 55c | 1,803$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.44 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed No Hoodwink | 48c | 1,667$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.66 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed PuckChamp | 55c | 1,398$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked PuckChamp | 17c | 1,268$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.55 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed PuckChamp | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PuckChamp | 2c | 1,060$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed PuckChamp | 46c | 1,047$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.31 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked PuckChamp | 53c | 1,024$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.36 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No Hoodwink | 51c | 986.42$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.92 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed PuckChamp | 50c | 972.07$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.21 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…32e2backed PuckChamp | 55c | 931.48$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488a…cb68backed PuckChamp | 46c | 898$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed PuckChamp | 45c | 881$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.45 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 873$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed PuckChamp | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed PuckChamp | 61c | 776.9$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…0fcebacked No Hoodwink | 53c | 762.84$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked No Hoodwink | 55c | 760.55$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.3 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PuckChamp | 44c | 685.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed PuckChamp | 44c | 598.3$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.25 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PuckChamp | 48c | 559.41$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.28 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed No Hoodwink | 39c | 499.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed No Hoodwink | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed No Hoodwink | 55c | 499.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.11 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2690…4089backed PuckChamp | 46c | 480$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PuckChamp | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed PuckChamp | 59c | 441.52$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked PuckChamp | 45c | 441.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed No Hoodwink | 46c | 439.78$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.03 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed PuckChamp | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PuckChamp | 43c | 424.49$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.89 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp | 50c | 401.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked PuckChamp | 44c | 400.28$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.17 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked PuckChamp | 40c | 355.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed PuckChamp | 26c | 338.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed PuckChamp | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked PuckChamp | 54c | 318.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 45c | 311.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PuckChamp | 60c | 308.73$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked PuckChamp | 73c | 304.67$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.41 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed No Hoodwink | 50c | 302.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PuckChamp | 47c | 293$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked No Hoodwink | 56c | 292.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed PuckChamp | 48c | 289.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No Hoodwink | 49c | 273$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked PuckChamp | 52c | 272.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed PuckChamp | 48c | 262.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PuckChamp | 59c | 249.79$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed PuckChamp | 56c | 241.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed PuckChamp | 36c | 219.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed PuckChamp | 46c | 217.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed PuckChamp | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 215.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed PuckChamp | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed PuckChamp | 45c | 210.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked PuckChamp | 55c | 206.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PuckChamp | 45c | 205.45$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed PuckChamp | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed PuckChamp | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked PuckChamp | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed PuckChamp | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed PuckChamp | 47c | 178.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked No Hoodwink | 66c | 172.08$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked PuckChamp | 26c | 170.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed PuckChamp | 46c | 163$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -9.1wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked PuckChamp | 58c | 157.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed PuckChamp | 46c | 153.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed No Hoodwink | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No Hoodwink | 49c | 131.22$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed PuckChamp | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed PuckChamp | 51c | 115.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked PuckChamp | 47c | 103.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…ebdcbacked PuckChamp | 69c | 100.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked PuckChamp | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed PuckChamp | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked PuckChamp | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed PuckChamp | 52c | 95.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed PuckChamp | 46c | 93.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed No Hoodwink | 55c | 93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked No Hoodwink | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed PuckChamp | 39c | 91.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed PuckChamp | 56c | 89.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed PuckChamp | 55c | 89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BNo Hoodwink won
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerNo Hoodwink won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.