Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2156de1eb78e71437cfa9dd0b909e304a4f630b398bf76c2220fdf9de9aa1f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- No Hoodwinkof No Hoodwink, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed PuckChamp | 24c | 1,895$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.62 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…0fcebacked No Hoodwink | 52c | 1,452$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PuckChamp | 45c | 840.94$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.8 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PuckChamp | 39c | 683.75$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.44 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PuckChamp | 22c | 665.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed PuckChamp | 28c | 656.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…f75bbacked No Hoodwink | 53c | 607.84$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed No Hoodwink | 50c | 596.97$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.49 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…03d0backed PuckChamp | 28c | 359.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked No Hoodwink | 43c | 337$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked PuckChamp | 52c | 298.24$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PuckChamp | 20c | 272.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked PuckChamp | 39c | 234.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed No Hoodwink | 46c | 222.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PuckChamp | 37c | 217.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed No Hoodwink | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed No Hoodwink | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed No Hoodwink | 53c | 187.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked No Hoodwink | 45c | 179.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…3c49backed PuckChamp | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp | 24c | 166.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PuckChamp | 25c | 160.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked No Hoodwink | 76c | 156.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No Hoodwink | 65c | 155.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked PuckChamp | 57c | 147.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 31c | 146.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked No Hoodwink | 48c | 139.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed PuckChamp | 9c | 131.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4322backed No Hoodwink | 69c | 116.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed PuckChamp | 22c | 115.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed PuckChamp | 41c | 113.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed No Hoodwink | 48c | 110.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed PuckChamp | 50c | 105.35$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PuckChamp | 15c | 92.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed PuckChamp | 25c | 87.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed No Hoodwink | 49c | 85.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed PuckChamp | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PuckChamp | 44c | 75.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PuckChamp | 56c | 71.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PuckChamp | 56c | 68.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…7b12backed No Hoodwink | 48c | 62.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed PuckChamp | 24c | 61.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked PuckChamp | 25c | 61.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked PuckChamp | 23c | 58.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…d1c2backed PuckChamp | 60c | 57.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked PuckChamp | 32c | 57.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked PuckChamp | 57c | 52.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed PuckChamp | 50c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked PuckChamp | 52c | 46.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed PuckChamp | 34c | 43.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked No Hoodwink | 41c | 38.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed PuckChamp | 52c | 34.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed PuckChamp | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No Hoodwink | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No Hoodwink | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed No Hoodwink | 77c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 1 WinnerNo Hoodwink won
- Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerNo Hoodwink won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.