Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Derbyshire vs Glamorgan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6d682909f07bb00b4b48bc96a5ac0481360d14cd124b12c2c6e61aeae988479
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Derbyshireof Derbyshire, Glamorgan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Glamorgan | 4c | 21,939$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.39 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Glamorgan | 4c | 19,232$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Glamorgan | 2c | 11,393$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.62 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Glamorgan | 7c | 6,905$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.21 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Glamorgan | 3c | 5,566$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Glamorgan | 38c | 4,585$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.17 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Glamorgan | 5c | 2,616$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Glamorgan | 1c | 2,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Glamorgan | 6c | 2,474$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Glamorgan | 3c | 2,326$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Glamorgan | 41c | 1,968$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.51 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Glamorgan | 5c | 1,932$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Derbyshire | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.94 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Derbyshire | 59c | 917.61$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.32 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Derbyshire | 68c | 827$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.66 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Derbyshire | 68c | 700.72$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Glamorgan | 5c | 620.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Glamorgan | 5c | 582.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Glamorgan | 51c | 520.72$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.84 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Glamorgan | 5c | 468.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Glamorgan | 9c | 467.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Glamorgan | 4c | 462.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Glamorgan | 3c | 430$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Derbyshire | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Glamorgan | 9c | 326.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Glamorgan | 6c | 321.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Glamorgan | 5c | 295.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Glamorgan | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Derbyshire | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Glamorgan | 6c | 205.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Derbyshire | 56c | 195$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Glamorgan | 49c | 174$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Derbyshire | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Derbyshire | 70c | 121.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Glamorgan | 36c | 108.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Glamorgan | 27c | 91.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Derbyshire | 67c | 90.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Glamorgan | 52c | 77.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Derbyshire | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Glamorgan | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Derbyshire | 57c | 58.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Derbyshire | 60c | 37.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Derbyshire | 54c | 37.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Derbyshire | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Glamorgan | 52c | 31.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Derbyshire | 59c | 27.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Derbyshire | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.