Tennis · resolved market
ITF Edwardsville: Leo Vithoontien vs Ilija Palavestra
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ba298c8950151c19bd72ed5d2e4334b00d02414724fc4928713140a354f2671
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilija Palavestraof Leo Vithoontien, Ilija Palavestra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Leo Vithoontien | 49c | 3,247$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.19 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ilija Palavestra | 52c | 1,735$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.42 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223a…f30ebacked Ilija Palavestra | 65c | 981$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.39 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Leo Vithoontien | 50c | 935.97$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Ilija Palavestra | 50c | 731.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilija Palavestra | 46c | 671.12$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Ilija Palavestra | 59c | 348$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…6f91backed Ilija Palavestra | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ilija Palavestra | 52c | 189$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Leo Vithoontien | 61c | 127.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ilija Palavestra | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ilija Palavestra | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ilija Palavestra | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Ilija Palavestra | 66c | 64.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…e361backed Ilija Palavestra | 50c | 60.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Leo Vithoontien | 61c | 54.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Leo Vithoontien | 58c | 51.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Ilija Palavestra | 40c | 50.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Ilija Palavestra | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Leo Vithoontien | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Leo Vithoontien | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Ilija Palavestra | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Ilija Palavestra | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Ilija Palavestra | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Leo Vithoontien | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…881abacked Leo Vithoontien | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.