MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67cd1528cdb6ad5dfecf8c3b4c57996014807fd87c59ab55306a65ff134b7f5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $277,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 258 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Athletics | 46c | 21,580$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 21,194$11,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,961.25 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 47c | 15,563$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.7 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics | 22c | 12,428$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.39 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 11,670$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,594.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Athletics | 48c | 11,600$5,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,568 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 9,569$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.05 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 6,978$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.63 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 6,676$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 31c | 6,429$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 6,402$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,902.92 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 6c | 5,528$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.23 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics | 47c | 5,320$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.45 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 47c | 4,781$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.35 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 8c | 4,395$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 27c | 4,020$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 46c | 3,966$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Athletics | 6c | 3,943$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.42 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Athletics | 46c | 3,896$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,807$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 3,004$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 11c | 2,691$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.64 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,648$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,642$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.83 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 2,588$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 9c | 2,351$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.12 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Athletics | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Athletics | 1c | 2,045$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…034ebacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,768$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 47c | 1,601$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.92 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Athletics | 6c | 1,550$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,547$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.53 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,401$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.03 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,328$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.97 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0602…a12ebacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,308$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,197$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.58 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Athletics | 4c | 1,187$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,085$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.58 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 47c | 1,058$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.71 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 926.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.5 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 914.59$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.83 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 857.98$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.67 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 846.34$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.95 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 819.99$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 787$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.89 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4460…54d1backed Athletics | 46c | 781.82$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 748.85$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.86 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 729$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.95 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 727$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.15 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Athletics | 48c | 694$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked Athletics | 6c | 665$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Athletics | 5c | 596.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 26c | 559.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 557.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.43 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 16c | 551.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 522.07$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.35 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 515.3$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.04 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Athletics | 48c | 510.2$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed Athletics | 45c | 499.97$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 381 | 45.4%173 W · 208 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 45c | 480$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 471.19$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Athletics | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909e…735cbacked Athletics | 46c | 406$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 395$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Athletics | 46c | 389.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 32c | 372.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Athletics | 46c | 356.15$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Athletics | 15c | 340.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Athletics | 46c | 330$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Athletics | 46c | 323.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 47c | 317$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 283.91$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.76 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Athletics | 35c | 281.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 272.22$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 268.83$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…a181backed Athletics | 46c | 259.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Athletics | 26c | 256.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 254.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb258…0d2bbacked Athletics | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Athletics | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Athletics | 45c | 239.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b31…b13ebacked Athletics | 46c | 230.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Athletics | 46c | 226.32$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 220.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.75 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Athletics | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Athletics | 46c | 219.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Athletics | 25c | 212$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…6de9backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 211.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 208.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-6.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.