MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395ddc9901c9fb57762e3e4b4843f6b7c1eda86ad6fa015266272ff08e17a0dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Seattle Mariners, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 16,705$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.03 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 72c | 15,821$11,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.58 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 14,268$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners | 39c | 10,373$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 29c | 6,363$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,609$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.7 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 4,982$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.53 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,625$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 3,542$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.59 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 3,153$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 3,042$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.41 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 5c | 2,453$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 2,214$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.14 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,127$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.37 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,081$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.85 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 18c | 1,779$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 1,717$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.27 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 1,572$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37c…ef29backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 14c | 1,524$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…eaf1backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 1,465$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 1,328$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.73 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,207$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.5 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.73 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,189$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.89 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,151$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 1,023$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,000$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.32 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 906$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 76c | 749.51$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 654.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 611.11$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 603$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.59 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 29c | 555.83$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 551.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.27 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 549.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Seattle Mariners | 26c | 499.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 482.58$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 462$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 24c | 414.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 21c | 411.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 406.96$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.83 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 391.34$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 387$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 372.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 348.28$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.34 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…14c0backed Seattle Mariners | 21c | 296.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 264.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 5c | 228.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Seattle Mariners | 31c | 221.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 219.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 217$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 204.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…10e8backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 204.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 195$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 185.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 181.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Seattle Mariners | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 171$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1381…343cbacked Seattle Mariners | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Seattle Mariners | 23c | 128$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…351dbacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Miami Marlins | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 116.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 115.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 350 | 47.4%166 W · 184 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 113.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Seattle Mariners | 20c | 112.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 110.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967f…a5d9backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 110.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 143 | 72.7%104 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 109.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Seattle Mariners | 26c | 105.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 102$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.