Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa2afc76bd276890810e53dbcfee44b561c3e1b28acf38e1f288b3c5ce083e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 13c | 3,422$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.89 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Over | 64c | 2,733$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.12 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…cd9ebacked Over | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 40c | 1,206$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.12 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 51c | 833.55$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.44 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 821.54$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.83 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 76c | 815.86$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 13c | 716.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.3 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 36c | 646.75$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.36 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 43c | 454.07$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.47 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 68c | 382.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.48 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 64c | 315$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 284.41$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.64 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 6c | 269.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 14c | 169.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.87 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 69c | 149.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 21c | 124.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 25c | 96.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 67c | 58.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 73c | 57.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 49.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 76c | 40.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Over | 67c | 23.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…6cbabacked Over | 64c | 21.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 75c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.