Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec66f15d1b7201b9895b9670458fc4db3c72613ea799409e898b20b99b523a80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed No | 34c | 1,462$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 67c | 971.35$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.8 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 920.32$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.61 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 52c | 586.77$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.29 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 569.26$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.5 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 547.74$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 47c | 493.24$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.03 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 487.38$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 403.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.84 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 68c | 345.6$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.15 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 340$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 340$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 46c | 325.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 288.34$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.67 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 65c | 279.63$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 256.21$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 55c | 246.47$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 61c | 219.72$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.79 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 12c | 219.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…3c05backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 67c | 149.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 136.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 20c | 122.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 23c | 64.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 67c | 50.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 42c | 34.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 68c | 20.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…bb7bbacked Yes | 67c | 18.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 67c | 15.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.