Mls · resolved market

Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc61190e8a2ff1274adc45fdb7b5da50cd76bdf65db324e83f662f7af2b0deb95

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,643 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over	56c	3,958$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over	33c	3,929$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.29	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+142.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Under	54c	2,020$1,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920.03	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	68c	1,076$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.4	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	67c	534.75$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.35	472	40.7%192 W · 280 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	37c	496.31$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.48	382	46.1%176 W · 206 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	42c	464$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.14	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over	59c	453.45$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.37	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.35per pick	50cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	49c	401.6$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.16	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d90…bcd6backed Under	65c	393$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.51	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-23%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	7c	340.29$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	62c	338.52$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.1	802	49.8%399 W · 403 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	71c	241.69$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.91	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under	63c	212.78$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.73	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	22c	196.92$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.32	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	25c	168.44$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.66	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	31c	150.45$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.54	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	11c	149.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.36	362	47.2%171 W · 191 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	68c	144$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.44	304	44.1%134 W · 170 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c5f…b904backed Over	52c	111.54$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-34%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5651…e11ebacked Over	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	11c	93.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	164	53%87 W · 77 L	+20.7wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+40%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	56c	86.17$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.21	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	14c	75.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	530	40.6%215 W · 315 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aab…2a65backed Over	58c	72.41$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	62cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	65c	72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	202	52%105 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over	47c	61.56$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.96	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b3…384fbacked Under	39c	51.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.41	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	75c	45$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.05	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x648f…bb7bbacked Over	28c	41.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	27c	40.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8063…7832backed Under	34c	31.75$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	49c	28.51$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.54	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	+10.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under	50c	27.94$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.97	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under	74c	27.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	68c	23.53$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	220	42.7%94 W · 126 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under	78c	22.7$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.99	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ba3…97cebacked Over	60c	22.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Over	60c	22.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Over	51c	19.61$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	74c	18.71$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.96	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under	78c	16.73$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.68	47	80.9%38 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.11per pick	70cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	67c	15.64$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5this page
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event