Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2910a5c75a222547bf4b1ff2988614ba009ad4170fcc3ec8a8849ce2686839c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 2,102$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.88 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 44c | 1,560$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 1,095$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.58 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Over | 44c | 1,040$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 503.44$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 45c | 459$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 20c | 426.47$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 31c | 390$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 78c | 305.34$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 78c | 293.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 13c | 233.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 12c | 198.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 174.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Under | 55c | 169.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 44c | 141.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…7832backed Under | 56c | 124.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 120.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 96.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 56c | 94.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 56c | 76.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 64.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 32.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 21.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Under | 62c | 17.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.