Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86e2a043c56f6466e18e65c247743ed4ae3f91a58bc575caf06b4051ed86e466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 70c | 14,286$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.71 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 13,494$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.19 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 28c | 1,150$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.03 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 64c | 829.99$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 482.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 28c | 429.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 64c | 418.71$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Under | 29c | 385.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 44c | 361.81$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 55c | 210.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 30c | 204.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…b109backed Over | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 70cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 62c | 119.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed Over | 26c | 119.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +277.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 77c | 106.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 33c | 100.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 37c | 83.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…ea8ebacked Under | 75c | 82.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Over | 35c | 73.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 70.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…3a5fbacked Over | 34c | 67.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 69c | 62.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Under | 68c | 55.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 45c | 55.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 58c | 53.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Over | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 57c | 43.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 31c | 41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 64c | 37.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 29c | 37.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 40c | 36.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 36c | 35.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 34.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 70c | 28.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 70c | 25.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -12.3wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 54c | 22.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Under | 64c | 20.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 52c | 20.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 71c | 20.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x848a…23b4backed Under | 79c | 13.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: San Diego FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-2.5)San Diego FC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: San Diego FC (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.