TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,972
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,972 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b88…8f33backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c51,855$28,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,652.0344851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c30,183$13,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,582.4323948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c30,000$13,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,80021040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9947953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c6,024$3,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,772.911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Arizona Diamondbacks48c6,000$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8802,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c3,056$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.84,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.034252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Arizona Diamondbacks48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.8224150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8561351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers77c1,044$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.228,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c821.82$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8211255.4%62 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c779.96$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.5889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c689$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.831,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c564.24$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.911,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers72c563.43$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5950748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers76c510.85$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed Arizona Diamondbacks8c505$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5716232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c490.18$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.426,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c472.73$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.7313354.9%73 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c468.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.112941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c453.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2921550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c374.33$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7877353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x094d…5a65backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c318.18$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.184151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0243247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5965…d26dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c262$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.416450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd10…f782backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1813447.8%64 W · 70 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee6b…accbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.051,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10581257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Arizona Diamondbacks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c199.64$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.842548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c194.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.341,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8223145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c149$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.052,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.453868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c124.24$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.034,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…55f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.22,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839b…16b8backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c115.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.951560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Arizona Diamondbacks30c110$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3312848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…bfbfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c108.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c104.45$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477846.2%36 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712549.6%62 W · 63 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b2…ae24backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c98.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3314555.9%81 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c81.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.442,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3646854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3672154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3641152.3%215 W · 196 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c78.15$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7329656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d5…11f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks41c58.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b8e…c00dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b9…01bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c51.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.182653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2355953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.524152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c45.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8362554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014645.9%67 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0281…f0debacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.78812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-76.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c39.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8384049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.651,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Arizona Diamondbacks47c34.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.161,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47a…67fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc94…a3b6backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.254445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c30.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1911149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.251,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef0…25b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.271560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c25.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9259749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c25.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6955643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Arizona Diamondbacks49c24.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1244347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c22.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.