MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0df60144d1b8062d3685f22918e89b673b3cfa87ce4dca5c5445ece97129a209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 6,614$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.11 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 52c | 2,368$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.17 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 39c | 1,825$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Over | 49c | 1,763$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.58 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Under | 46c | 1,549$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.13 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 66c | 1,276$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.7 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 32c | 1,200$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.25 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 51c | 1,005$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.44 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 993.88$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 50c | 983.55$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.77 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 908.63$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 34c | 877.35$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 43c | 690.29$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 53c | 583.16$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.04 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Under | 49c | 564.3$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 34c | 459.92$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 48c | 406.45$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 63c | 338.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Over | 51c | 326.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.57 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 264.64$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 63c | 246.46$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 172.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 48c | 139.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 124$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 47c | 110.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 98.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Under | 47c | 95.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed Under | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 91.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 91.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 75.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 71.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 41c | 67.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 44c | 65.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 52c | 51.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…f4f7backed Over | 34c | 51.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 66c | 48.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1216…a8bcbacked Over | 49c | 48.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 58c | 46.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 67c | 43.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0469…5eb0backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Over | 63c | 37.28$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Under | 71c | 34.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 51c | 33.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3353backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 64c | 29.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 50c | 28.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 49c | 27.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 47c | 25.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…870dbacked Over | 46c | 25.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Over | 44c | 24.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed Over | 48c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 50c | 23.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-7.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.