Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7127099a748eedb44d14e71f33c4b5d5cd4cb887d91b4261b98f3c2da9543a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 40c | 7,863$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.04 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 5,556$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.96 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 76c | 4,176$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.88 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,841$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 2,188$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.34 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 1,967$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.59 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 52c | 1,699$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.28 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 31c | 1,117$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.45 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 33c | 997.22$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 69c | 616.39$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 40c | 572.04$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.82 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 508.25$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 80c | 490.06$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 66c | 372.33$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 334.16$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 297.51$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 16c | 266.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 261.12$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 14c | 195.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 64c | 180.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 53c | 152$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 137$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 46c | 130.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…f237backed Over | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 24c | 114.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 47c | 109.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 32c | 104.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 28c | 103.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 33c | 101.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 100.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…b50ebacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 84.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 38c | 76.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 74.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.34per pick | 59cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 66.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 65c | 56.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 54c | 55.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Over | 27c | 54.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9886backed Over | 35c | 54.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Under | 78c | 51.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 54c | 42.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 32c | 32.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 74c | 30.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 58c | 21.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b73…d92dbacked Under | 75c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Aalesunds FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.