Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc07067829d84701f3cee5325f6c86acca706daba501df622dd61786d61055832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 11c | 6,633$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.63 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 15c | 1,934$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 11c | 675$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 22c | 566.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 27c | 343$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 328.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 75c | 320.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 26c | 280.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 276.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 250.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 12c | 211.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 12c | 203.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 25c | 104.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 20c | 104.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Over | 64c | 78.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 20c | 77.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 73c | 41.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 68c | 41.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…5c5abacked Over | 75c | 39.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Over | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 64c | 28.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Over | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a16…079ebacked Over | 75c | 18.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 74c | 18.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Aalesunds FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.