Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03507302737b4edf86715e83711b6a7590da4d4621fa78f79d3c7db9fa6c74c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 28c | 4,440$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 11c | 2,188$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.62 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 694$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 72c | 694$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 694$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.32 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 71c | 600.58$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.17 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 486.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 11c | 443.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 15c | 426.55$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 72c | 342.19$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 306.94$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 15c | 224.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 8c | 137.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 134.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 73c | 104.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 79c | 96.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c0…ca02backed Under | 73c | 81.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Under | 73c | 68.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 28c | 53.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 72c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 80c | 50.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 80c | 32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 72c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5this page
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Aalesunds FK vs. Viking FK: Viking FK O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-1.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Aalesunds FK (-2.5)Viking FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Aalesunds FK won
- Spread: Viking FK (-2.5)Aalesunds FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.