TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No58c720.55$421 inWon+$299.8333049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed No62c560.41$350 inWon+$210.413473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes42c553.52$230 inLost-$23019951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Yes41c241.46$99 inLost-$995259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes38c229.99$87 inLost-$87.456050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No59c155.4$91 inWon+$64.2785449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No74c117$86 inWon+$30.9342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed Yes26c114.81$30 inLost-$303740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Yes37c70.93$26 inLost-$26.243964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9087…9532backed Yes43c67.44$29 inLost-$298229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2612…0eabbacked Yes41c60.59$25 inLost-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked No62c59.81$37 inWon+$22.7317547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No63c59.47$37 inWon+$22.0453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57b…6783backed Yes40c50$20 inLost-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba9…c25fbacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost-$206246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes41c48.78$20 inLost-$2040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No60c38.33$23 inWon+$15.3314953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc78b…5c76backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost-$155736.8%21 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes39c30$12 inLost-$11.733556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d7e…7278backed Yes41c29.27$12 inLost-$121315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-62.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No60c20$12 inWon+$896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No73c18.31$13 inWon+$4.9830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.