MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cdb4ae4846b88bb0ef45420b9c6de400bd19f7f2b70d22862887abe5278d485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 105,000$53,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,549.98 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 49c | 71,356$34,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,391.56 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 18,276$8,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,439.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…4879backed Over | 49c | 8,951$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 6,756$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.73 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 6,555$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc089…633cbacked Over | 49c | 6,169$3,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 5,147$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.98 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 50c | 3,764$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.94 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 3,755$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.97 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249a…52e5backed Over | 48c | 3,142$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 2,606$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.27 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 2,025$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.98 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 1,690$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 51c | 1,651$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.97 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 1,493$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.01 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 2c | 1,271$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…6219backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 1,100$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.22 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 52c | 936.71$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.09 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 49c | 811.25$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.74 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 733$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.23 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 547.23$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 526.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 74c | 501.7$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.59 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 26c | 499.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 48c | 473.88$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.68 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…0b1bbacked Over | 48c | 429.7$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 48c | 398$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 357$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 314.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 308.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 52c | 273.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.19 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 213.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 51c | 192$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 52c | 181.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…e223backed Under | 50c | 154.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 52c | 121.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 47c | 103.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 52c | 103.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 99.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 46c | 96.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.85 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 62c | 92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 85.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Over | 49c | 67.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 65c | 56.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 62c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 50c | 50.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…d7fabacked Over | 51c | 46.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 44.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 49c | 44.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | -23.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 53c | 42.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 52c | 39.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 38.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 49c | 35.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 32.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 31.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 52c | 31.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…5ceabacked Under | 52c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 51c | 25.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 52c | 24.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Over | 49c | 24.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…14b1backed Under | 52c | 23.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…3be8backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…a37fbacked Over | 51c | 22.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.