Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x154907f18a785d34a1f29cb3250f0894101df0201c167e52a15c4dd4760c1954
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 6,481$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 31c | 2,513$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.07 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 2,323$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 41c | 1,551$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 1,161$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.5 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 35c | 999.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 30c | 937.19$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.74 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 907.12$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.99 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 693.9$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.9 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 651.86$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.78 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…9136backed Over | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 14c | 519.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…e882backed Over | 39c | 511.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 57c | 509.6$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 58c | 499.29$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 73c | 477.04$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 425.44$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.54 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 31c | 316.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 34c | 299.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.14 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…02d8backed Over | 38c | 263.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 43c | 199.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 63c | 159.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 155$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 62c | 112.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 64c | 79.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 20c | 75.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Over | 31c | 58.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 65c | 55.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 51.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 49.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 59c | 48.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 65c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 70c | 25.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 25.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 58c | 23.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 69c | 22.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Under | 56c | 21.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 58c | 18.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…d7fabacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 72c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Under | 76c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.