Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12f0325cd40801c0317346a8a566d422afd7975c8af1ea6cf1f9bcb50a75b91c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 40c | 14,914$5,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,974.6 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Over | 24c | 4,200$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 47c | 3,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 16c | 2,999$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 40c | 2,496$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 1,143$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.93 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 52c | 1,083$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.78 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 833.17$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 40c | 719.38$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 56c | 518.69$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.83 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 517.86$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 496.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Over | 33c | 484.85$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 69c | 433.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 69c | 351.08$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 41c | 299.35$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 35c | 234.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 74c | 203.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 171.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…efc7backed Under | 68c | 160.87$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 33c | 152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 32c | 149.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 51c | 116.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 62c | 114.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 70c | 111.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 35c | 104.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…7fc8backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 26c | 94.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 67c | 93.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 58c | 79.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed Over | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 70.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 58c | 68.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 40c | 62.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Over | 44c | 51.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 61c | 30.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…ce7cbacked Over | 52c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 55c | 27.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Over | 51c | 27.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Under | 40c | 27.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Over | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…34c0backed Over | 59c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.