Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16ca464f41e76b9f910e5c3ff16727be1eccdfb99a6484c7bea275fd7511715a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 3,590$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.41 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 48c | 2,733$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 1,091$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.87 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Yes | 48c | 728.13$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 533.11$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.99 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 31c | 485.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 472.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 453.74$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.92 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 54c | 351.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 692 | 52.3%362 W · 330 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 303.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 65c | 230.77$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.15 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Yes | 44c | 225$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 23c | 216.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…719bbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 48c | 179$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 54c | 122.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 54c | 34.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 48c | 33.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 70c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.