Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e8d95b2330f91941268195c1dd1d5fd1b240c8d49630e98b2ae1562c1580948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,004$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.9 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +253.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 9c | 803.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 26c | 606.35$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.39 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 33c | 584.03$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.03 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Yes | 69c | 575.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 79c | 238$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 124.52$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 52c | 115.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 106.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 21c | 98.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked Yes | 33c | 93.18$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 70.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 22c | 63.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 58c | 57.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 37c | 56.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…afb0backed No | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Yes | 50c | 44.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7387…ccf1backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Yes | 73c | 22.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…4dc3backed Yes | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa08…b12dbacked Yes | 68c | 15.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.