Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0774cdd0512866ba3bce38915a9a9ca224c874baed00e17b51dd890d6ccfdf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 2,138$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.28 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 1,233$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.05 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Yes | 43c | 1,171$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 40c | 828.59$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.43 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked No | 62c | 807.58$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 31c | 653.92$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.73 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 39c | 361.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 26c | 358.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked No | 68c | 292.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Yes | 63c | 287.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.31 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed No | 34c | 270$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 59c | 262.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.63 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed No | 34c | 246.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.62 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 236.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…fd21backed Yes | 40c | 219.18$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 40c | 204.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 43c | 196.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 40c | 188$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked No | 66c | 182.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 44c | 168.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 40c | 160.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes | 40c | 148.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 41c | 147.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 69c | 145.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 40c | 139.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 136.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 33c | 126.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Yes | 41c | 119$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 23c | 114.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 32c | 112$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 110.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b94…82ccbacked Yes | 42c | 95.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 35c | 88.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 74.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 31c | 74.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed Yes | 30c | 71.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Yes | 31c | 60.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 41c | 59.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 32c | 55.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 54.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 60c | 51.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 20c | 50.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 40c | 45.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 40.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…657bbacked Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 34c | 32.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 61c | 31.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 61c | 18.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 72c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.