Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27a04c00bb2cc531063afca1d4982a8e5be9990a4e775d7be3ecbfcc5e2dea8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,217$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.63 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 55c | 1,202$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 45c | 829.8$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.41 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 41c | 733.07$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked No | 56c | 534.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.15 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 45c | 402.18$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 54c | 391.11$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.91 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 47c | 277.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 43c | 253.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 55c | 238.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 45c | 132.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Yes | 44c | 125.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 107.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…15f8backed No | 55c | 92.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…6911backed No | 56c | 91.13$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 40c | 88.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 46c | 88.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 46c | 80.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Yes | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d1…a7ffbacked No | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 57c | 47.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 36c | 44.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Yes | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Yes | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked No | 56c | 38.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f32…9c3bbacked Yes | 49c | 35.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3228…b4e3backed Yes | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 57c | 35.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…77bdbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 46c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5935…b8dabacked No | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…0637backed No | 55c | 19.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)SSC Napoli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.