TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,506
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,506 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c2,804$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.492,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Under66c2,288$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.1612950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under65c1,500$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5253636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Over59c994.76$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.880%0 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over36c922.58$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.1320544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over69c770.32$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.521346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under53c728.33$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under62c699.97$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9922947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over37c695.57$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.037544%33 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over38c642.11$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over52c580$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Under67c524$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.922391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick64cpaid+48.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c522.18$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over65c470$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.56863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Over38c337.95$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.422330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under64c329.69$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.692653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over55c299.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.993050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c289.88$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.991,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under47c289$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa133…1c7dbacked Under64c281.25$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Over71c279.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.79955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227b…e40fbacked Under29c272.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over38c252.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Under53c243.4$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.411547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under64c234.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.373053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over35c216.91$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under64c215.63$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6333951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd4…c870backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.33742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under64c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.011675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6813648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Under79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…15edbacked Under59c196.51$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under58c191.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4914936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Under79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.873066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over41c160.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.388863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under58c155$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.228445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Over75c154.9$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.182138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d292backed Under44c150.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over36c148$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.281030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Under65c140.65$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.611735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over56c135.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1316448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over38c132$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.724271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over34c131.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.431338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Over37c125.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.596428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over34c120$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.88948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Over36c117$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over46c116.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9724849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over37c108.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408042.5%34 W · 46 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404671.7%33 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over57c101.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2815045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over35c101$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.358439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under63c84$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4114452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Under44c83.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.933953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under19c82.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.811546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ca…bfddbacked Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over37c81.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308143.2%35 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57fc…abcbbacked Under65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512033.3%40 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3c…e863backed Over37c61.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.412754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.413650.7%69 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.812350.4%62 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Over36c59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Over36c55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82564%16 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb0…b622backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under55c51.41$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2820841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over56c48.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.311856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over26c46.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.145215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over38c46.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under34c45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.486050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over38c44.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178651.2%44 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.442875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under62c42.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0412657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaed3…205bbacked Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over35c39.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417955.3%99 W · 80 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Under64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over59c32.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1934553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Under68c31.28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.011872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+52.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over38c29.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.032429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Under64c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Under64c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick63cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Under64c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Under64c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7089…9160backed Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.