Fifa International · resolved market
Uganda vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd564ae73913fffcf34f75372690a10cdf4c63881eeede10420e6707a0b96fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Over | 44c | 7,691$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 3,966$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 1,656$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.43 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Under | 67c | 1,640$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,031$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.06 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 56c | 863.55$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.59 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Over | 44c | 825.45$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 66c | 607.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Over | 51c | 428.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Over | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 43c | 347.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.84 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Under | 58c | 337.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.63 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 42c | 291.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.36 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 58c | 220.49$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 41c | 163.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 44c | 138.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 58c | 115.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 44c | 95.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 40c | 77.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 43c | 70.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 59c | 67.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 55c | 62.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Over | 40c | 62.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…99f7backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…7c5cbacked Under | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4c…1332backed Under | 60c | 38.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 42c | 36.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Under | 61c | 32.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…d866backed Under | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 65c | 30.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Under | 55c | 30.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…58b9backed Under | 60c | 21.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -80%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 58c | 20.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uganda vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5this page
- Uganda vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Uganda vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Uganda vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5Over won
- Uganda vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.