TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5d0…d9e8backed No47c35,204$16,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,468.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c12,623$6,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,705.798844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes54c8,741$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.5913933.8%47 W · 92 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes55c8,250$4,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.0428659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes68c5,538$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.6946644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes53c5,126$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.5347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No46c4,618$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.244148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No8c2,555$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3933444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked No45c2,212$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6604025%10 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes53c1,415$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.094355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5761952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Yes53c1,130$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Yes80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes53c875.18$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.5330055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No12c707.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No14c626.78$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.26837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No23c608.7$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes53c568.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.443158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3f…a6bfbacked Yes54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked No48c468.75$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2258949.4%44 W · 45 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes56c438$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.436969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed No3c388.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.651650%8 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed No49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed No11c300$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed No48c291.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5238…1bc0backed No49c280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b2…122dbacked Yes52c265.05$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed No46c261.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No14c256.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.764946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes77c237.27$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.275945.8%27 W · 32 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes54c210.17$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6819345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926746.3%31 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed No45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No47c185.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.195558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes56c179.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.11540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes56c179$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7611457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f8…280cbacked Yes78c176.6$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No12c175.49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.584242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No8c173.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.073941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.54744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Yes51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.510448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.459065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No8c145.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.211827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes55c119.39$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7422852.2%119 W · 109 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No38c113.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7511750.4%59 W · 58 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7774…4f13backed Yes53c113$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes56c103.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.732433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441090%9 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick69cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a7d…c3a6backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes53c99.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.993070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No48c99.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.974858.3%28 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8b5…9102backed Yes77c97.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No37c94.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed No26c91.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.311060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No46c88.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes54c86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.561560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No42c85.27$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9313149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x114e…d7e3backed No19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd942…7a49backed No14c79.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes69c79.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7412532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes54c74.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.368051.3%41 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff3…299dbacked No18c74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a3…56d0backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.799100%9 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+82.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked No46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43073.3%22 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2378…a8dbbacked No48c59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff49…2f07backed No21c58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.18425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac7…597ebacked Yes79c54.37$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f48…824bbacked No48c54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Yes54c51.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.852944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked No21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No47c46.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.782653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fba…12fcbacked No48c41.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9276…081ebacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf443…1ea1backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.853560%21 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb768…b6f7backed Yes59c26.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db4…9e0abacked Yes52c25.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36a…30cabacked Yes52c21.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked Yes53c20.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc7…3778backed Yes55c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes75c15.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.914852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.