Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90735b38483af8b9e816c1683b2002cabb6736e4ffa19f678e1b2ede841c5656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdd4…6084backed Yes | 0c | 3,303$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 18c | 939.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…0c2cbacked No | 79c | 773.37$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 8c | 538.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 19c | 509.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a338backed Yes | 9c | 462.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +29.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…f22cbacked No | 56c | 355.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…262dbacked Yes | 24c | 345.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.78 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | +21.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 20c | 285.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 420 | 61.2%257 W · 163 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 23c | 281.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 13c | 257.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -58%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 11c | 250.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 23c | 235.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…073dbacked Yes | 44c | 226.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…c79fbacked Yes | 45c | 221.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -10.0wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 69c | 216.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 10c | 195.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 74c | 195.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 55c | 182.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.21 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 14c | 179.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed Yes | 10c | 153.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 493 | 59%291 W · 202 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…eb75backed Yes | 12c | 138.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0861…8e40backed Yes | 10c | 126.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 22c | 121.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…e9f0backed Yes | 29c | 121$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 56c | 115.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked No | 69c | 113.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf3…369dbacked No | 57c | 111.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…aa80backed Yes | 16c | 109.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 13c | 107.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…d734backed Yes | 43c | 99.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…6771backed Yes | 21c | 81.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 24c | 81.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 79.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 77.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…9335backed Yes | 26c | 72.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4577…f436backed Yes | 22c | 69.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 23c | 63.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 42c | 62.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked Yes | 33c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…463ebacked Yes | 40c | 60.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc7…b6b0backed Yes | 45c | 54.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…297dbacked Yes | 22c | 52.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 175 | 11.4%20 W · 155 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Yes | 23c | 50.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 27c | 46.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -69%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…5430backed No | 73c | 45.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…558bbacked Yes | 37c | 43.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 63c | 42.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…bebcbacked No | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 77c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…266abacked Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 70c | 29.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 37c | 29.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…3a34backed Yes | 42c | 25.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 64c | 25.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90b…7190backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 64c | 24.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 55c | 22.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c87…7165backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…c8b1backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.