Other European Leagues · resolved market
Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dd08e44c8c518fb271853e972caa00d74fb5733409e06803679c30fec8b8586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,170$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 982.05$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 65c | 563.43$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.23 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Under | 15c | 456.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.94 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 39c | 324.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 64c | 320$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…b647backed Over | 65c | 235.42$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 53c | 203.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Under | 7c | 203.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Over | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Under | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 40c | 98.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…acacbacked Over | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 48.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…d2fcbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 71c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Celtic FC vs. Falkirk FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.