Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs S2G Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11e418401b0574fef2c3d1dc35fce0d58c877c3e2319d0722031601443462d39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof Bushido Wildcats, S2G Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 3,416$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.53 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed S2G Esports | 51c | 1,138$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked S2G Esports | 60c | 838.6$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.44 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 832.5$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 700$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Bushido Wildcats | 3c | 622.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed S2G Esports | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked S2G Esports | 55c | 502.5$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 500.18$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Bushido Wildcats | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed S2G Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Bushido Wildcats | 13c | 199.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed S2G Esports | 72c | 148.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…fadbbacked S2G Esports | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed S2G Esports | 50c | 102.4$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed S2G Esports | 57c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked S2G Esports | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed Bushido Wildcats | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed S2G Esports | 67c | 63.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe65a…bfafbacked Bushido Wildcats | 30c | 42.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Bushido Wildcats | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…0561backed Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 21.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed S2G Esports | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs S2G Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs S2G Esports (BO3) - TCL PlayoffsS2G Esports won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs S2G Esports - Game 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.