Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0858950c8ce3be020e2f9f2d5d1ac918a0dc61e09dffdccbaf347f61114b398e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 61c | 4,473$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.43 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 3,689$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.71 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 3,330$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.86 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 65c | 3,300$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.93 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 35c | 2,832$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.96 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 2,146$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.64 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Yes | 71c | 1,962$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,599$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.54 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 31c | 1,561$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.39 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 23c | 962.31$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.33 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 65c | 800$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 50c | 665.03$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.38 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 654.89$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 68c | 566.46$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.53 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 458.14$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Yes | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 30c | 313.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 64c | 277.77$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.77 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…b3fdbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 188.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 40c | 179.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 65c | 155.47$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Yes | 36c | 153$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 70c | 143.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes | 69c | 91.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…b213backed No | 21c | 84.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…cae6backed No | 66c | 84.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 36c | 70.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 35c | 67.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 40c | 60.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Yes | 36c | 55.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 26c | 53.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 50.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…3ec6backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 35c | 49.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 49.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Yes | 75c | 49.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…14dfbacked No | 66c | 43.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 25c | 43.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed No | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 36.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 39c | 35.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed No | 66c | 33.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…24d1backed No | 66c | 28.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…3449backed No | 66c | 26.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…2567backed No | 65c | 21.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…1a56backed No | 65c | 19.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed No | 63c | 17.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked No | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-30?this page
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96 end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.