Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Troy Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x171822d95bd483d0c34b267e1c2c8bf12af3ff09fc1a1061e6bcd5c134fb8f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Appalachian State Mountaineersof Appalachian State Mountaineers, Troy Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Troy Trojans | 73c | 645$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 24c | 522.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 31c | 479.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.39 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Troy Trojans | 26c | 404.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Troy Trojans | 66c | 191.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Troy Trojans | 51c | 173.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 74c | 160.66$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Troy Trojans | 48c | 149.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.37 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 25c | 128.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 29c | 124.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Troy Trojans | 36c | 114.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 22c | 105$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Troy Trojans | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 29c | 92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Troy Trojans | 77c | 83.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 65c | 64.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10eb…4dd8backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Troy Trojans | 78c | 41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Troy Trojans | 31c | 36.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 30c | 35.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Troy Trojans | 78c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Troy Trojans | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Troy Trojans | 48c | 29.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 56c | 28.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 61c | 26.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…50cabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 25.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71c…488bbacked Troy Trojans | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Troy Trojans | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed Troy Trojans | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…ad47backed Troy Trojans | 78c | 15.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 79cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…2c4bbacked Troy Trojans | 77c | 14.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…9e2fbacked Troy Trojans | 78c | 13.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Troy Trojansthis page
- Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 136.5Under won
- Spread: Troy Trojans (-8.5)Appalachian State Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.