Premier League · resolved market
Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfafdd3575585a1bcfc79515e7a1252fb8475e8d83328bcb7fd18ddad0618b574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 122.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Yes | 58c | 97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed No | 41c | 82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked No | 41c | 66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Yes | 58c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Yes | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed No | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed No | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed No | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Yes | 58c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Yes | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Yes | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Yes | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Yes | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 57c | 20.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Norwich City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.