CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs FUT Academy (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd355c21b7d91089b26b6242cb325002a2b8f9199dfa013671e600ebe81e00a48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof megoshort, FUT Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked megoshort | 69c | 3,221$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FUT Academy | 48c | 2,076$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.65 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked FUT Academy | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FUT Academy | 54c | 1,848$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.95 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FUT Academy | 29c | 1,765$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.67 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47c…14c9backed FUT Academy | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FUT Academy | 9c | 758$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed megoshort | 50c | 627.95$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.46 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked FUT Academy | 32c | 550.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.59 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed megoshort | 64c | 546.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.22 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked FUT Academy | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Academy | 52c | 425.23$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.29 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed FUT Academy | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked megoshort | 51c | 394.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed megoshort | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed FUT Academy | 4c | 303.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked FUT Academy | 8c | 286.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +95%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked megoshort | 61c | 261.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked megoshort | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed megoshort | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed megoshort | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked megoshort | 55c | 196.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Academy | 59c | 182.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed megoshort | 56c | 179.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked FUT Academy | 51c | 102.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…c3e4backed megoshort | 60c | 75.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed megoshort | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed FUT Academy | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked megoshort | 57c | 56.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed FUT Academy | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FUT Academy | 32c | 49.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed megoshort | 78c | 46.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed FUT Academy | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed megoshort | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed megoshort | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed FUT Academy | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…d7c1backed megoshort | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked FUT Academy | 40c | 25.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed megoshort | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed megoshort | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8d…8327backed FUT Academy | 57c | 24.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed megoshort | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed megoshort | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed megoshort | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…e30ebacked megoshort | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked megoshort | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: megoshort vs FUT Academy (BO3)this page
- FUT Academy to win 0 maps?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: mego (-1.5)FUT Academy won
- megoshort to win 0 maps?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.