TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Western Kentucky Hilltoppersof Florida International Golden Panthers, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers79c1,555$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.321,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Florida International Golden Panthers22c702.05$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.431,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers62c630.99$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Florida International Golden Panthers22c607.77$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.331,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Florida International Golden Panthers38c570.11$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.644245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers64c539$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6660548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers61c490.64$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.745,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Florida International Golden Panthers38c399.88$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers78c358.85$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.741,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Florida International Golden Panthers38c302.38$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.033,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Florida International Golden Panthers30c274.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.991,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida International Golden Panthers17c253$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.054,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers45c224$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1249525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Florida International Golden Panthers36c211.31$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.017038.6%27 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Florida International Golden Panthers45c187.31$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida International Golden Panthers42c176.83$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.851,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers62c164.73$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1499848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Florida International Golden Panthers37c162.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.984,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Florida International Golden Panthers33c150.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7537441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2548462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Florida International Golden Panthers40c127.63$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.763,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Florida International Golden Panthers36c121$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.568043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers64c118$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4813052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Florida International Golden Panthers35c107.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.841,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florida International Golden Panthers29c106.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.292,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Florida International Golden Panthers37c98.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0118230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers72c92.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Florida International Golden Panthers36c64.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0724340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Florida International Golden Panthers36c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.62,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers72c59.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.861,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Florida International Golden Panthers35c58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.321443.9%94 W · 120 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Florida International Golden Panthers24c46.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2870349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers64c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.682560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers64c35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63855.3%21 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers61c34.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65637.5%21 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Florida International Golden Panthers38c29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.897656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a7…e161backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers64c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.083568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers61c25.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6881453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers56c23.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers61c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2819138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ba…2117backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers63c18.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers68c17.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5530945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers65c17.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.042254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.