Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d4ee9056ae711071756575ae72e54f35a033ac5ccb0e8473e1c2e7f6ee3ccba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Robert Morris Colonials, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 56c | 1,172$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.57 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Robert Morris Colonials | 46c | 647.44$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 330.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Robert Morris Colonials | 21c | 309.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a9…5d71backed Robert Morris Colonials | 33c | 304.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Robert Morris Colonials | 23c | 290.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 22c | 254.18$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Robert Morris Colonials | 53c | 239$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.82 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 56c | 230.21$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Robert Morris Colonials | 33c | 166.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Robert Morris Colonials | 43c | 120.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Robert Morris Colonials | 13c | 120.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 55c | 109.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 15c | 101.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Robert Morris Colonials | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 99.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 67c | 94.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Robert Morris Colonials | 44c | 90.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 75c | 80.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 66c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 67c | 62.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Robert Morris Colonials | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Robert Morris Colonials | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 65c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 39.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 38.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 54c | 30.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 30.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Robert Morris Colonials | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…e654backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsthis page
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 144.5Over won
- Robert Morris Colonials vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.