South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Platense vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e5cf8fc59372ac3e6461a2141784554e8fba87867342da583eba92a3d26a2b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,051$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,249$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.52 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 396.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 40c | 249.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 166.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Yes | 38c | 154$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 115.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 38c | 108$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…dc73backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed No | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 38c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Yes | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Yes | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked No | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked No | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked No | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Platense vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Platense vs. CA Independiente: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Platense vs. CA Independiente: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.