Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272886a47b4386a85dbea283ca7e1eeecea8c79120f37508caeee93d59600289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulane Green Waveof Memphis Tigers, Tulane Green Wave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 45c | 318.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Tulane Green Wave | 46c | 196$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Memphis Tigers | 55c | 94.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Memphis Tigers | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Memphis Tigers | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Memphis Tigers | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Memphis Tigers | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Memphis Tigers | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Memphis Tigers | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Memphis Tigers | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Memphis Tigers | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Memphis Tigers | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Memphis Tigers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tulane Green Wave | 69c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Memphis Tigers (-9.5)Tulane Green Wave won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis TigersTulane Green Wave won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.